Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.046171 0.053916 0.062431 0.072469 0.083961 0.096688 0.111831
2025-03-30 0.035105 0.045362 0.057687 0.073512 0.093213 0.116842 0.147234
2025-04-06 0.026627 0.037692 0.052084 0.072006 0.098671 0.132904 0.179921
2025-04-13 0.020832 0.032035 0.047684 0.070840 0.103867 0.148842 0.214178
2025-04-20 0.017947 0.029686 0.047137 0.074492 0.115682 0.174633 0.264389
2025-04-27 0.015499 0.027425 0.046198 0.077205 0.126229 0.199568 0.315960
2025-05-04 0.012647 0.023913 0.042665 0.075247 0.129224 0.213444 0.352433
2025-05-11 0.010633 0.021389 0.040244 0.074565 0.133895 0.230052 0.394408
2025-05-18 0.008791 0.018792 0.037229 0.072333 0.135541 0.241750 0.429409
2025-05-25 0.007390 0.016740 0.034823 0.070741 0.137926 0.254664 0.467326
2025-06-01 0.006461 0.015445 0.033603 0.071094 0.143684 0.273683 0.517082
2025-06-08 0.005449 0.013766 0.031351 0.069106 0.144795 0.284499 0.553296
2025-06-15 0.005048 0.013391 0.031742 0.072513 0.156750 0.316332 0.630640
2025-06-22 0.004459 0.012458 0.030805 0.073060 0.163152 0.338505 0.692330
2025-06-29 0.003793 0.011192 0.028922 0.071310 0.164668 0.351487 0.737872
2025-07-06 0.003259 0.010146 0.027362 0.070027 0.166960 0.366123 0.787788
2025-07-13 0.003070 0.009985 0.027887 0.073572 0.180015 0.403430 0.885424
2025-07-20 0.002849 0.009689 0.028026 0.076217 0.191353 0.438167 0.980631
2025-07-27 0.002443 0.008752 0.026370 0.074264 0.192030 0.450646 1.031193
2025-08-03 0.002146 0.008079 0.025289 0.073580 0.195546 0.469430 1.096351
2025-08-10 0.001835 0.007276 0.023709 0.071370 0.195136 0.479552 1.143780
2025-08-17 0.001589 0.006626 0.022442 0.069796 0.196070 0.492684 1.198692
2025-08-24 0.001431 0.006247 0.021907 0.070142 0.201837 0.517245 1.280679